EFFECT ON 2022

This was unexpected. If I am to guess who will die first, among the former Presidents. Of course I will go with the oldest, for that is the natural thing to happen. But Former President Ramos, is still strong as a bull. Or at least with the sick, and that's Former President Estrada, who has been infected by COVID-19. Yes, the predecessor of President Duterte, has been known to have been sicked, for he has loss weight in some of the recent photos. But I didn't expect him to die this fast, or even this time.

Me and my mother, always talks about politics, on guessing who will win the Presidency. Of course the overwhelming guess, is the Presidential daughter, Mayor Sara Duterte. But we are both open to the possibilities, that something might happen, that will alter the course of the race.

In 1983, Ninoy Aquino was assassinated. In 1986, Cory became President. In 2009, Cory died of her illness. In 2010 Noynoy became President. You see the pattern, whenever an Aquino dies, an Aquino becomes President.

But before you come into a conclusion, hear this. Back then, there was no social media. And social media, was overwhelming against the party, which he belongs. And he has not a non-favorable consensus. Which I will not enumerate, for it's inappropriate this time.

And I think, the sisters especially Kris Aquino, doesn't want to be entangled anymore in politics. And I think the former President doesn't even want to be President, but the blabber mouth, at the funeral of their mother, somewhat hinted and pushed him to run. 

If Kris will somewhat run. It would only had an effect on the Liberal Party. Leni Robredo might be forced to not run, to give way for Kris Aquino. Just like Mar Roxas did.

But before you turn your empathy and sympathies into vote. Hear this,this is the party of the administration that cause the WPS debacle. And the one who is pushing for a retake of the territory. I am not against it, but we are not strong enough, and will never be strong enough. And we are not sure on how America will respond. Their actions might led to war. Even if we are not colonized, we will suffer damages, that might be years to repaired, or not at all for that matter. So think first, and don't base your votes on emotions. Stakes are high on the next elections

IS A PROBLEM, IS AN IMMINENT DANGER

IS, is a problem and an imminent danger that may cause World War 3 itself. But first who and what is IS

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IS, which means Islamic State, is a branch of Al Qaeda on Iraq, a jihadist group who wants to established a caliphate, in which Sharia Law will be implemented. Their group is led by Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi. Their group is much like the Taliban but more traditional and more violent. They kill those who dont want to be converted to Islam, and beheaded a number of American journalists. They are so violent, Al Qaeda which is also a jihadist group, denounce IS, cause they say, IS will damage Al Qaeda's reputation, which begs the question, What reputation?

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Among those who are killed are Catholics who lived in vicinities now occupied by IS, who had not escape. This has led a reaction from Vatican, which in the past always advocates peaceful solution, to bombed the IS as the only solution.

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The red represents the territories now occupied by IS. IS hates America and also hates Russia. They hate people what they believe as infidels, or non believers. After they are denounce by Saudi Arabia's Grand Mufti Sheikh Abdulaziz Al al-Sheikh, naming them as the number one enemy of Islam. They threatened to attack Saudi Arabia, in which thank God is not happening yet.

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And after all the troubles, America the superpower, is not doing anything, with the exception of doing airstrikes. Which historically, America should know that it will have little effect and sometimes none, it had not lower German morale in World War 2 nor the British when bombed by the Germans, and also done nothing to stop North Vietnam in the Vietnam War. Military strategist will agree to this.

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I don't know, maybe America is to be blame with this. They attack Iraq for imaginary WMD's(Weapons of Mass Destruction). If Saddam have stayed in power in Iraq, this may not have happen. In the first place Saddam is not a threat anymore, after the first Gulf War. Dick Cheney, the VP of US in Bush Jr. administration advocate to attack Iraq in worry that they may give WMD's to the terrorist. After all we know there is no such thing as WMD's in Iraq. Now we are here with this IS.

As I said IS want to established a caliphate, a caliphate to unite all Islamic countries into one. Inevitably this will include Iran which itself presents danger because of two possibilities. If Iran is to fall which has a lower chance of happening, IS may obtain nuclear capabilties, thats one, If Iran is to win and push IS into defeat, they will be closer to Israel. And Iran close to Israel is a very combustible element which can lead to World War 3, however it is only a possibility for now.

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It is imperative for US and UN to take actions on this, they should put troops again to stop the advance of IS and push them to defeat. They should also established a permanent base in there, just like in South Korea, as the threat their is permanent. The threat is always permanent in the Middle East. they should have known that, not only from IS, but also from Iran and Israel. Their presence there may served as a deterrence for any threats. Whatever badmouthing US is receiving, the truth is IS and any terrorist group fears the US.

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Now what is the implication of the happenings in the Middle East concerning IS to the Philippines. If they are to attack Saudi, first and foremost, many OFW's are there, secondly we are dependent on the Middle East oil. And recently Abu Sayyaf pledge allegiance to IS. A number of Filipino has been recruited by IS as Mayor Rodrigo Duterte and Former President Fidel V. Ramos has said. And I the author lives in Mindanao, particularly Davao, we suffered three bombings in here which has killed and injure a lot of people from terrorist attacks. And that IS rising in the Middle East worries me. That's all