WHAT DOES THIS MEANS FOR THE UNITED STATES?

Many are comparing what is happening now in Kabul, on what happened before in Saigon when the US is trying to pull-out from Vietnam, in the 1970's. It's not the same. The US never defeated the Viet-Cong, and North Vietnam in the Vietnam War. They might have caused casualties, and damages. But they never defeated Vietnam. On the other hand, they defeated Taliban, and got the revenge of 911, by killing Osama Bin Laden. But why did the Taliban return, and takeover the capital?

The simple answer is, US fought a two prong war. One in Afghanistan, and one in Iraq. And both ended in failures. The adventures in Iraq, didn't prove anything on the accusations of weapons of mass destruction. And as many people have said, Saddam might be a tyrant, but he stabilizes the region. That even the Saudis, disagrees on the attack on the country. They took out Saddam, and what happened? They unemployed all member of Saddam's political party, from the government. Which is stupid, why? They didn't do that in Germany after World War 2, because they can't. No one will run Germany, if they take out all Nazi party members, in the government. They only took out those who they deemed responsible for war crimes. But they didn't do that with Iraq, those who became unemployed, especially army personnels became the foundation of the ISIS. It destabilizes Iraq, and Syria. And they pulled out, which the other powers, Iran, Turkey, Russia, maybe in a way China, took the opportunity to get in. Which I believe is not in the US foreign policies interest, and their allies to in the region.

Now Afghanistan. As the time progress, and the objectives are fulfilled. I think they lost interest on it in a way. Maybe because of high cost of maintenance, and criticism at home. Then President, declared that they will pull out completely from Afghanistan, with the deadline in September 11, 2021. 

So how did the Taliban took over? How did they get the arms and weapons? I don't know. But what I know is, as US is pulling out, China and Russia are getting in. One Taliban leader, even met the Chinese Foreign Minister in China. Another angle was, US is pulling out, so that China will have these problem Afghanistan. That they may pivot to China, because of the treatment of the Uyghur Muslims in Xinjiang. But that's not confirmed, and only the days will tell, if that will happen.

The images of the exodus are horrifying. People in fear of the return, of the Taliban, hang on to planes as it flies. And of course they will fall. Why did it happened? Because they never treated Iraq, and Afghanistan, like the Germany of 1945. Had they done so, we might have a different Afghanistan and Iraq. But some may say, that can't happen because of the culture and the people. I don't think so. Japan are a warring state, and a backward society, before they became like this. China also are a warring state, and a backward society, before they became like this. Even the US is like that in the beginning, and they are a superpower. Everything can be changed. Not even many, only one has to will it, and it will happen.

So why is Kabul not Saigon? US retreated in Saigon, and it remains a superpower nation. One other country retreated in Afghanistan, years ago. That is the Soviet Union. Four years after they collapse. Will the US collapsed in four years? We can never tell. But US is in a free fall decline, as a superpower.

And it also says something, about Duterte's foreign policy, not being to reliant on the US. And to those advocating we forcefully retake lost territories in the West Philippine Sea, because we have the US backing us. First of all, we don't have the force. Second is, we may not have, the US backing us, despite promises. Last time, the Philippines were in trouble because of an Asian power. They flee first. Remember that, and just look what is happening in Afghanistan now.

REMATCH 2024

 

The Biden administration should not really f*** themselves up, or else they have a problem coming to them. With the vote 57-43, only 7 Republicans turning on the former President. Trump was acquitted twice, after being impeached twice.

I mean, its basic. Impeachment is a political process. Democrats should have thought it through before doing this. Even President Biden, is not that optimistic about this. That it should not be a priority of the Senate. And then this happen, most Republicans still back Trump, and no matter how strong the argument is, with Democrats not having enough numbers. Trump prevailed.

And what is the implications of him winning? This story is still developing, by the time this was written, so what I am saying maybe superseded by things that will and might happen still that we dont know for the moment. The implication is that he might run again for President. Bad thing if he win, bad thing if he lose. If he win, he might f*** up America again, if he lose, he might repeat the events of January 6, 2021.

And with that stripping of memberships that happened in some clubs, that the former President have joined and everything. I think if he run, he will remember those guys. For he is a vindictive guy.

I mean, if he somewhat run, and wins. I hope the pandemic is over. He is really not good in handling the pandemic. And that withdrawals, with the Paris accords, WHO. Foreign policy he has some little points, Korean War ends in his administration. The I can bomb you reminder, policy. And somehow, he got the Arab states, and Israel, to work with each other. Because those two sides hate each other.

The wrong with Obama though, is that he is trying to ease sanctions with Iran, for them not to pursue, nuclear weapons, talking to them and European allies, even China and Russia, but not talking to important side in the region. Israel. Now with Biden elected, they are trying to resume talks with Iran. But this time, they should talk with Israel, cause it’s a ticking time bomb, in that region, with Israel being paranoid and nervous. It may even go nuclear, God forbid.

And locally speaking, the policy of America with Biden for the Philippines, and China is still blurry at the moment. Obama has this don’t care policy. Trump is tough on China. Biden I don’t really know, which is why it’s scary. And to the fate of Duterte, I hope they don’t intervene in our affairs. And also don’t provoke confrontations within this region, in which the Philippines, might be put in the middle of.

Biden still has to prove himself. He has to address the CoVid problem correctly, and I hope he doesn’t go wrong in foreign policy. I hope for the success of these administration. A second Trump, and a possible renewed two terms, I don’t like. Reversal of policies again, that are bad for the world. And because of that, allies might lose trust completely. And with that, China will fill the void, and I don’t want China being in the leadership position of the world. It will not be good. I mean, if I am an American, I might vote Republican, but not Trump. If Trump runs again, please re-elect Biden. That’s all I can say for now.

IS A PROBLEM, IS AN IMMINENT DANGER

IS, is a problem and an imminent danger that may cause World War 3 itself. But first who and what is IS

photo link

IS, which means Islamic State, is a branch of Al Qaeda on Iraq, a jihadist group who wants to established a caliphate, in which Sharia Law will be implemented. Their group is led by Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi. Their group is much like the Taliban but more traditional and more violent. They kill those who dont want to be converted to Islam, and beheaded a number of American journalists. They are so violent, Al Qaeda which is also a jihadist group, denounce IS, cause they say, IS will damage Al Qaeda's reputation, which begs the question, What reputation?

photo link

Among those who are killed are Catholics who lived in vicinities now occupied by IS, who had not escape. This has led a reaction from Vatican, which in the past always advocates peaceful solution, to bombed the IS as the only solution.

photo link

The red represents the territories now occupied by IS. IS hates America and also hates Russia. They hate people what they believe as infidels, or non believers. After they are denounce by Saudi Arabia's Grand Mufti Sheikh Abdulaziz Al al-Sheikh, naming them as the number one enemy of Islam. They threatened to attack Saudi Arabia, in which thank God is not happening yet.

photo link

And after all the troubles, America the superpower, is not doing anything, with the exception of doing airstrikes. Which historically, America should know that it will have little effect and sometimes none, it had not lower German morale in World War 2 nor the British when bombed by the Germans, and also done nothing to stop North Vietnam in the Vietnam War. Military strategist will agree to this.

photo link

I don't know, maybe America is to be blame with this. They attack Iraq for imaginary WMD's(Weapons of Mass Destruction). If Saddam have stayed in power in Iraq, this may not have happen. In the first place Saddam is not a threat anymore, after the first Gulf War. Dick Cheney, the VP of US in Bush Jr. administration advocate to attack Iraq in worry that they may give WMD's to the terrorist. After all we know there is no such thing as WMD's in Iraq. Now we are here with this IS.

As I said IS want to established a caliphate, a caliphate to unite all Islamic countries into one. Inevitably this will include Iran which itself presents danger because of two possibilities. If Iran is to fall which has a lower chance of happening, IS may obtain nuclear capabilties, thats one, If Iran is to win and push IS into defeat, they will be closer to Israel. And Iran close to Israel is a very combustible element which can lead to World War 3, however it is only a possibility for now.

photo link

It is imperative for US and UN to take actions on this, they should put troops again to stop the advance of IS and push them to defeat. They should also established a permanent base in there, just like in South Korea, as the threat their is permanent. The threat is always permanent in the Middle East. they should have known that, not only from IS, but also from Iran and Israel. Their presence there may served as a deterrence for any threats. Whatever badmouthing US is receiving, the truth is IS and any terrorist group fears the US.

photo link

Now what is the implication of the happenings in the Middle East concerning IS to the Philippines. If they are to attack Saudi, first and foremost, many OFW's are there, secondly we are dependent on the Middle East oil. And recently Abu Sayyaf pledge allegiance to IS. A number of Filipino has been recruited by IS as Mayor Rodrigo Duterte and Former President Fidel V. Ramos has said. And I the author lives in Mindanao, particularly Davao, we suffered three bombings in here which has killed and injure a lot of people from terrorist attacks. And that IS rising in the Middle East worries me. That's all

4 MORE YEARS

Humantong na rin sa katapusan ang tunggalian sa pagitan ni President Barack Obama at Governor Mitt Romney, sa halalan ng pagka-pangulo ng Estados Unidos. Sa bilang na 303 vs 206 na electoral votes, ay tinalo ng incumbent President ang Governor ng Massachusetts.

Ang paniwala ko nga, bagaman akoy tagasuporta nya, ngunit hindi naman makakaboto ay hindi nga makakabalik ang mama sa White House, Dahil sa kaniya sinisisi ang pagbagsak ng ekonomiya ng Amerika, at ang pagbabago na ipinangako apat na taon ang nakakaraan ay tila hindi natupad.

Ang tila mga nagligtas nga Pangulo mula sa kumunoy, ay ang dalawang personahe na nasa litrato, si former President Bill Clinton, at si Big Bird ng Sesame Street. Ito nga ay dahil sa paniwala ko ay yung speech ni Bill Clinton, na umatake sa mga plataporma ng kalaban. Yung "arithmetic thing" na sinasabi niya rin. Ang speech ngang ito ang siyang naging gabay ng mga sumunod na pagsasalita ni Obama sa kampanya at sa debate, na kung saan nabanggit naman ang pangalan ni Big Bird, na tatanggalin ni Mitt Romney kung sakaling manalo siya, na hindi nga nangyari.

Isa rin marahil sa dahilan sa ikinatalo ni Romney, ay ang mama mula sa Russia, si Vladimir Putin, na masyadong agressive sya laban kay Putin, na ewan ko hindi ko naman ang isyu,sa akin ay nanahimik naman yung mama, na sa aking paniwala kung si Romney ang manalo ay mabuhay uli ang Cold War. Isa pa rin ay ang anti immigrant stance ni Romney na lahat ay pauuwiin diumano.

Ang ganda ng sistema ng eleksyon sa Amerika, komplikadong maganda na sana ay ganito rin sa Pinas. At sana bago matapos ang termino ni Obama ay makabisita naman siya sa Pinas.