Ipinapakita ang mga post na may etiketa na Elections. Ipakita ang lahat ng mga post
Ipinapakita ang mga post na may etiketa na Elections. Ipakita ang lahat ng mga post

Biyernes, Nobyembre 19, 2021

I DON'T UNDERSTAND THIS SPLIT



After the substitutions brouhaha. Now this. Duterte is saying that he will not endorse Marcos' candidacy for the presidency. For he will choose Bong Go. That I understand. But to attack Marcos, with and old song, saying he's this and that. That I don't understand.

Marcos, is not particularly adversarial with Duterte, but very supportive. Even promises to continue, what good Duterte has accomplished. Yet the President, quipped that there is a candidate that who is, or who has used cocaine. The clue was, he has a prominent father. Who among the candidates, has a prominent father, none other than Bongbong Marcos? 

I think this is a very bad move. That the administration has split, rather than unite. The trajectory is, if he will not be disqualified, Marcos will assume the presidency. It's not wise to fight him. I am sure there will be vengeance, for those who had put them down through the years. If the situation will not change, Duterte might be included in the list.

I also don't particularly agree, that he is a weak leader. If not, Ilocandia will give up on the Marcoses. But they don't. And he is on every disaster response, at least according to his Youtube channel. In Yolanda, one of the few national and local officials that has come into region was Marcos. And the other was Duterte.

As Robin Padilla has said. This is only politics. BBM's and DDS are supposed to be allies not rivals. And as he said, the only ones that's will be benefiting this, are the enemies of this administrations. I really think this is an unnecessary fighting, and a very bad move. If it's a fake to lure someone, still not good. And I really don't understand this fight. 

Martes, Nobyembre 16, 2021

MISCOMMUNICATION AND MISSED OPPORTUNITIES BY THE DUTERTES



Was anyone confused as well with the substitutions bruhaha? I think, I am not alone in this one. Last week, Inday Sara finally revealed her bid to the vice presidency of the country. Cementing the BBM-Sara tandem finally. And you think it's over? No. Bong Go, also substitutes to run for President, with the endorsement of President Duterte. Plus their are rumors that the President might run as vice president. Which was finally put to rest this Monday, when it was revealed that he will run in Senate.

Historically speaking, Duterte was not the first to downgrade from the highest position after his term. Not going far, was Gloria Macapagal Arroyo. Who, the same with Duterte, ran for office as a member of the House of Representatives in her district, immediately after the expiration of her term as President. But the one, with the most synonymous of situations was Jose P. Laurel. Although he didn't run after his term. For after his term, was the end the war. War meaning World War 2. And he was by Americans and some Filipino's alike as a Japanese corraborator. He ran for Presidency against Elpidio Quirino in 1949, and lost. In 1951 he ran, for senate, garnered the biggest vote. Would Duterte outspot the current no. 1 in the survey, Raffy Tulfo? We'll see.






 

For the longest time, the president warned his daughter, not to gun for the Presidency. Yet in the recent interview, with Banat By, he said that, why ran for VP, when you are no. 1 in the surveys? You said to not run for the presidency, and technically the daughter is just obeying the father. Banat By, worded it wrong, that someone is dictating on him what to do. What Thinking Pinoy is saying, is that there is what they called Cordon sanitaire. Politically it means, non-cooperation, which is not practiced by the Duterte's. Medically, simply means quarantine. Non contact with others. Which I started to believe that there is. I think there are people, within the inner circle of the President that don't want Sara to succeed the Presidency, after her father. That's why, as Thinking Pinoy is implicating, they are preventing the father and daughter to talk, and strategized. And now we had this, Bong Go and Bongbong both running for the presidency. And Inday Sara was for vice presidency.

What was the missed opportunities? History was the missed opportunity. Sara would have been the first elected female President, due to her immense popularity. But what about Cory and Gloria? Cory assumed the Presidency through a revolution. Gloria on the other hand, also through a revolution, and her second term, well. Many believed, she didn't really win that election. And as Susan Roces have said, "you have the stolen the presidency, not once but twice"

Another missed opportunity was, a Duterte after Duterte presidency, had she ran and won. And if she will do well, there would have been another Duterte in the waiting. A Duterte after Duterte, after Duterte. I am not saying that it is for the good, but it was a missed opportunity. 

Many are still saying, that the President are still not showing all his cards. Maybe, or maybe not. We'll see. After the COMELEC finalize the list of the presidential candidates. I will put out a prediction, on who will win this Presidential Elections. Basing on a certain formula. 


Miyerkules, Nobyembre 10, 2021

LOGICAL RETREAT




I was just gonna talk about Bongbong Marcos possible and logical retreat. But a development has happened just yesterday. Manny Pacquiao has met with the President. But there are no clear statement, on what they talking about. Then Salceda said that, Let Manny announce himself. What does that mean? No one knows for now. But it looks like that, Manny is going to retreat too. 


Chavit Singson predicted that if Manny will fund his own campaign, which is likely, is that he will lose big financially. Just like in the past presidential election. The entire election only revolves around 3-4 candidates. In the past, the predictions only revolves around Duterte, Roxas, Poe, and Binay. Santiago was not even on the equation. Now it only revolves again around 3-4 candidates, Marcos, Robredo and Moreno. And with the recent happenings, Duterte-Carpio. Pacquiao and Lacson is not even on the equation. But unlike Pacquiao, Lacson might have sponsors, or at least use crowd funding. Pacquiao is likely to use his wealth to get his campaign going. And from this point up to the elections, it will be some huge expenditures. And as Chavit pointed out, Pacquaio has no stable source of income, other than boxing. And he retired already. Maybe Pacquiao have heard what Chavit is saying, and talk to the President about possible withdrawal from the race.

Now let's go to Marcos. He has some huge support, yes. Yet he also has huge detractors. And they filed a case for his disqualification. Although his lawyers confidently stated that the case will not push through. His candidacy is walking on a thin ice. If he's really an administration candidate, and a friend of the Duterte's. Why not withdrew, and totally support Inday Sara's bid for Presidency? It's a win-win situation if he do that.


Many things are still to happen from now on. And let's continue watching the development of this election. I hoped they will heed my advice. Or they are already doing it in silence, and I'm just an idiot blabbering things.

Martes, Nobyembre 9, 2021

WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT?



Just this afternoon, a series of withdrawals of candidacies happened in Davao City. First was Sebastian Duterte, withdrawing his bid for the election of Vice Mayor of city, as per instruction of Mayor Inday Sara. Later, the mayor withdrew her bid for the election of Mayor of the City. This only means one thing. The eagle will fly, and go national.

But what will happen next? No one knows at the moment. But the path is narrowed. Either it's Vice President or President. The problem will arise if she goes for President. If she chose that, will Marcos give way?

For the administration to win, he has to. But will he? Because here are the dynamics at play. Marcos has a more solid vote territory than Inday Sara. Balwarte, in Tagalog or Spanish. Inday Sara will not enjoy the Solid Mindanao, that her father carried. Just here in the Davao Region, she made political enemies. Remember Pantaleon Alvarez, who was ousted as the Speaker of the House, with her pulling the strings. He will not carry her, that's for sure.

Scandal wise, Marcos has a lot of dirt with him. A lot of people still hate him, for what happened thirty years ago, or more. Inday Sara on the other hand, has less scandals, compared to him. But the same people that hated Marcos, are hating the Dutertes. 

Another thing that is on play, Inday Sara has options on substitution. Whether it's Senator Bato or Senator Go. All she need to do is jump to PDP Laban, and that's it. Marcos on the other hand, has no one to substitute if she chose to run for VP again. Technically, he can jump to PDP Laban as well. But PDP-Laban is the also the party, that carried Cory Aquino to run against his father back then. It might be awkward for both PDP-Laban and Marcos to join forces. But again, the probability is low, but not zero.

So what will be the combination? Marcos-Duterte, or Duterte-Marcos? Either way, there is very high chance of victory. The worst case scenario, is they both run and no one give way. Then either Leni Robredo or Isko Moreno, snatch the victory. 

For them to win, they need to unite, and need to do it fast. I don't want the other candidates to win, for they are establishment candidates. And others had communist sympathies. So let the North and South unite.

Linggo, Nobyembre 7, 2021

LOWERING OF THE GUARD



I myself had my second dose of my vaccine, just a week ago. Then IATF announced the lowering of quarantine status to alert level 2. I can't particularly remember what the status was before. But after that announcement, a lot of restriction was downgraded.

Examples are, removing of barriers from public vehicles. Allowing of minors to go with their parents in malls. Face shields are now optional, In my city, liquor ban was lifted. But as a considered fully vaccinated, because of my two doses, and a homebody, I'm still scared of what is going on.

As of my writing this, Philippines is still on the 50-60% vaccination rate, with only 30+ percent being fully vaccinated, meaning those who have the second dose already. Which only means, there is still 70% who doesn't have the full vaccine protection, which is not a 100% immunity against COVID. 95% at best, 60+percent the least in efficacy rates. Which means it prevents you getting severe symptoms, hospitalizations and worst case scenario, death.

And children are out now, most of them are not vaccinated yet, and we are freeing them. Letting them go to malls etc.

Don't get me wrong, I am in favor in some of relaxation of restrictions for the economy, but it should be gradual and not drastic. And I'm thinking it is being done, because of the elephant in the room. The coming elections.

The news is like conditioning the masses, that it okay to go out now. Health officials and personnels are skeptic. And knowing Filipino's as the saying goes, kung makalulusot, lulusot. And it's not even lusot. They are giving a lot of allowance and leeway.

Elections are important, but not as important as health. How can you vote when you're in the hospital, or someone you know is. Remember that vaccines are not 100 immunity, and we are not all vaccinated. As a saying that I saw in memes said. The probability are low, but not zero. I hoped that the lowering of the guard, doesn't result in something bad, and I'm wrong. But most of the time, they do. Again, I'm hoping I'm wrong.

Source: 

Covid Vaccination Tracker

Huwebes, Hulyo 1, 2021

NAIVETY OR STRATEGY?



If a politician will promise this to you in the campaign for election in office, don't believe him or her. They can't do it. End corruption, and end poverty. Corruption can't be ended, it can only trimmed to certain point that it can't damage the state. Poverty can't be ended, it can only be alleviated. It depends on the person whether he or she wants to get out of it or not. 

Manny Pacquiao said that he will declare war against corruption. And if ever he will decide, maybe to run for a higher office, that will be his advocacy. War. That's a big word. Can you win it? And are you clean of it? Cause if not, the war is already lost. For a man to win against corruption, you have to kill the Devil. And man has no capacity to do it.

With the declaration of war against corruption, he accused the Duterte administration, of having double the corruption, than Aquino's term. In which he earn the ire, of President Duterte. So the President challenged him in his nightly  address to the nation on June 28: 

So I am challenging him: Point those offices that are corrupt. And let me take care of it. Within one week, I will do something,”

"Then now you say [we’re] corrupt. Where’s the corruption? Which offices?”

“If you fail to do that, I will campaign against you because you are not doing your duty. Do it because, if not, I will just tell the people: Do not vote for Pacquiao because he is a liar,”

And he accept the challenge, the evidence is to follow, and he points out DOH. Then he denies attacking the President, saying that it might be a wrong perception. Accusing things without evidence, is just slander. But it's nearing election season, so I understand.

Another thing he promised, that he will get rid of squatters. He will make houses for them. That's a good idea. But as much as I dont want to agree with Mr. Quiboloy, on most things, but he is somewhat right. Even if you give houses, if the mindset is still wrong, they will lose those houses, and get back where they came from. And even if you have plenty of money. The poor people, are more plentiful. Like I said If a politician promising to end corruption, and end poverty, he can't do it. It's impossible.

Despite all this. I am seeing something. Maybe this is only my political intriguing. Pacquiao and Duterte has been friends for years. And its a cliche, that in politics, their are no permanent friends, nor enemies, just permanent interest. But I think their friendship will not break so easily.

And it's a common knowledge now, that President Duterte, is a brilliant strategist in politics. That's why he is the President of the Philippines. What I am saying is, they might be faking this fight, for a political purpose. 

And what is that? Kicking out, Manny Pacquiao of the party, and pushed him to go the Liberal Party. To thwart of the real opposition. They might make him the standard bearer to run for President, and at the end of the day, all people that will run are Duterte's allies. It might be a speculation today, but even Trillianes are complaining about this possibility. So there might be some truth to it.

Whatever the case is, be wise in voting next election. Think of the high stakes that is on the line. And before I end, I want to go on the contrary against Manny Pacquiao's statement that in leading the nation, it's not all about the brains, but also of the heart. Yes, heart for the people is important. But if you don't have the brains, the one that has, will be the one advising you, to the point of controlling and manipulating you. And where there is manipulation, corruption begins. And you will declare war against corruption? Let's see what happens. 

And before he decides, whether he will run for a higher office or not. I already have a decision. Not vote for him, whatever his decision is. I am not influencing anyone, but it might be better to not vote him again. Starfruit politicians are the worst of politicians.


Linggo, Pebrero 14, 2021

REMATCH 2024

 


The Biden administration should not really f*** themselves up, or else they have a problem coming to them. With the vote 57-43, only 7 Republicans turning on the former President. Trump was acquitted twice, after being impeached twice.

I mean, its basic. Impeachment is a political process. Democrats should have thought it through before doing this. Even President Biden, is not that optimistic about this. That it should not be a priority of the Senate. And then this happen, most Republicans still back Trump, and no matter how strong the argument is, with Democrats not having enough numbers. Trump prevailed.

And what is the implications of him winning? This story is still developing, by the time this was written, so what I am saying maybe superseded by things that will and might happen still that we dont know for the moment. The implication is that he might run again for President. Bad thing if he win, bad thing if he lose. If he win, he might f*** up America again, if he lose, he might repeat the events of January 6, 2021.

And with that stripping of memberships that happened in some clubs, that the former President have joined and everything. I think if he run, he will remember those guys. For he is a vindictive guy.

I mean, if he somewhat run, and wins. I hope the pandemic is over. He is really not good in handling the pandemic. And that withdrawals, with the Paris accords, WHO. Foreign policy he has some little points, Korean War ends in his administration. The I can bomb you reminder, policy. And somehow, he got the Arab states, and Israel, to work with each other. Because those two sides hate each other.

The wrong with Obama though, is that he is trying to ease sanctions with Iran, for them not to pursue, nuclear weapons, talking to them and European allies, even China and Russia, but not talking to important side in the region. Israel. Now with Biden elected, they are trying to resume talks with Iran. But this time, they should talk with Israel, cause it’s a ticking time bomb, in that region, with Israel being paranoid and nervous. It may even go nuclear, God forbid.

And locally speaking, the policy of America with Biden for the Philippines, and China is still blurry at the moment. Obama has this don’t care policy. Trump is tough on China. Biden I don’t really know, which is why it’s scary. And to the fate of Duterte, I hope they don’t intervene in our affairs. And also don’t provoke confrontations within this region, in which the Philippines, might be put in the middle of.

Biden still has to prove himself. He has to address the CoVid problem correctly, and I hope he doesn’t go wrong in foreign policy. I hope for the success of these administration. A second Trump, and a possible renewed two terms, I don’t like. Reversal of policies again, that are bad for the world. And because of that, allies might lose trust completely. And with that, China will fill the void, and I don’t want China being in the leadership position of the world. It will not be good. I mean, if I am an American, I might vote Republican, but not Trump. If Trump runs again, please re-elect Biden. That’s all I can say for now.

Lunes, Enero 11, 2021

ATTACK ON DEMOCRACY

 


Bill Maher, a comedian with a political talk-show, semi-satire, Real Time with Bill Maher, had been saying for years, that if Trump loses the election, he will not leave.


 

It was reiterated by nonetheless, Michael Cohen, who is the personal lawyer of the President, and I quote: I fear that if he loses the election in 2020, that there will never be a peaceful transition of power.

Spoiler Alert: Trump did lose the election, and Mr. Bill Maher was wrong. He will leave office by himself or by force. And Mr Cohen’s fear was realized partially, because it still developing, that there will never be a peaceful transition of power.

On January 6, 2021. The President incited his supporters to march on the US Capitol, in order to somehow overturn his defeat at the 2020 election, as the House of Congress and Senate, is to certify the vote and the winners of the US Presidential Election. The rioters broke windows, ransacked the offices, and loot some properties. Four people died because of that. I must say that the move is unnecessary and a practice in idiocy.

The President could have just go down in history, as a President that has lost against Joe Biden. But because of this, his name will have notoriety forever. Both allies, and adversaries, condemned the President for his actions. All living former Presidents condemn what he has done. And has damage US prestige and reputation forever.

I can only think of two incidents that came close, to this event in history. One was EDSA 3, where Estrada supporters, marched to Malacanang at the instigation, of opposition senators then, especially Mr. Juan Ponce Enrile, in trying to overthrow the sitting President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. They didn’t breached Malacanang, but they came very close to doing so. And its very chaotic that day. But you have to understand, that at the time, PGMA, was not an elected President. She got the Presidency, by a coup, and Estrada supporters counter-coup, but failed.

The other one, was in China. It was what they called, the Cultural Revolution. Which was nothing cultural, but only a revolution. Because of the failures of the Great Leap Forward by Chairman Mao, he was set aside by his colleagues, and remove him  from power. But they did nothing else. So Mao incited the youth, and launch the cultural revolution. That in turn, put him back on power, and his enemies perish. So what happened in the US Capitol, was not very American.

And one thing I want to point out. Hitler, ran for a presidential election too, in his time, and he lost to Hindenburg. Hitler was already judge by history, as a madman. But did he rally the Nazi’s to attack the Reichstag, in order to overturn the election results? History doesn’t have such records. Although he did burn it, when he got the power, which was the beginning of the slippery slope for Germany, that ended in 1945.

Because of what happen, many  Democrats, and also Republicans, called for the 25th Amendment, especially, Section 4, wherein the cabinet will convene, and strip the President of all his powers, and kick him out of office. But the Vice President Mike Pence, although has accepted the result, was not willing to invoke it. So the Senators moved to impeached the President .

Although I understand the fears of the Senators, of both parties, with the President being still in power. Time is against them. By the time I am writing this, he has only 8 days left. And both 25th Amendment, and Impeachment are time consuming. And as the President elect said, it will hamper, his legislative agendas, because the Senate, will be busy impeaching, a non President. Why not let him get out of office, and file cases against him, when he is citizen Trump. At that time he has no immunity whatsoever, that will protect him.

This has forever damage the prestige, and reputation of the United States, From a leader of democracy, to becoming a part of the club, wherein someone don't like election results, they will cause chaos. And as I said, that’s not very US-ish. Losing candidates, generally accept results of elections. Even if they dont', I don’t know if there is one, they don’t go to such lengths, that they will incite supporters to attack the counting. Only Trump did this, he’s really one of a kind, but an infamous one of a kind. As I rephrase, Franklin Delano Roosevelt quote: January 6 2021, a date which will live in infamy.

And I would like to quote, Senator Mitt Romney as a closing remarks for this article

 

No congressional audit, is ever gonna convinced these voters, particularly when the President continue to saying that the election was stolen. The best way we could show respect for the voters who are upset, is by telling them the truth! That’s the burden, thats the duty of leadership, the truth is that President Elect Biden won the election. President Trump lost.I have that experience myself, its no fun! Scores of courts, the President’s own attorney general, state election officials, both Republican and Democrat have reached that unequivocal decision.

And I appeal to Mr. Trump, even though I am no American, but because the world is leaning, and relying to America’s leadership. Please kindly step down now, and do no more chaos.

Sabado, Hunyo 8, 2019

A FEMALE PRESIDENT IN 2022?



Elections have finished, and everyone who has won is eyeing for a position. There are talks about the speakership of the House of Representatives, and also about The Senate presidency. Others eye for some commitee chairmanship. But no one asks about the obvious. Who will sit in the throne of power in Malacanang, after Rodrigo Duterte? Because let’s face it. The first thing, a politician thinks after an election, is the next election. And the next election, is a much more important election, than this years election. For it is a presidential election, we will elect a new captain that will stir the nation.

Everybody is saying that Mayor Sara, will be the next President after his father. For a number of reasons, that are logical. But for me, it is still too early this time to count the chicks. The eggs are not yet crack. But one thing is for sure, we may have a new female president, after President Duterte step down on 2022. I’m 70% sure of it now. Why? Because of the probability. Too many female candidates might run for office. And some of them, are too obvious in showing their interest. Let’s enumarate them.

Of course, there is the Vice President, Leni Robredo. She has too run, cause if she won’t, although it’s inevitable whether she run’s or not, it will be the end of the Liberal Party. It might cease to exist in the Philippines. The probability of her winning the race, is very low.  Just look at what happen to Otso Diretso, all of them lose the race, which whom she endorsed. It’s just like saying, we don’t want you, and like you. Plus, she does things that ruins her. She attacked the President, with his Hitler remarks, that he might do to drug addicts, what had Hitler did on the Jews. Yet she, when she went to Germany, sits on the tombstones of the Jews, that Hitler had massacred on World War 2.

There is also Grace Poe, who is also not an administration senator, but chose to stay away from the Liberal Party. She was rank second among top 12 senators, that had won this election. She thanked the people for electing, and she is saying that she is not from the administration, she had not compromised her principles. What does she really meant by that? She is announcing her bid for the Presidency.

And a little rant, to some candidates. To those who have won, who want to thank the people for their support. Thank us, by doing your jobs right, and not stealing the taxpayers money. Stop posting posters, thanking the people, that you won! That posters, will just become additional trash that you will never clean by yourself! There is this partylist here in our city, that I will not name, but are connected to the Nograles, everytime they won, they post this thank you posters, congratulating themselves on winning. Are what you doing a bit narcissistic, on your part? Stop doing that. Nakakainis para sa mga tao,at magdadagdag basura lang. Sorry naubusan ng Ingles.

If the number 2 will run, what more about the number one? Cynthia Villar, 20 million plus voted for her. If she can maintain that number, until 2022, then she may have a chance. Although some political analyst say, that being number one in a senatorial election, doesn’t always translate to also winning the presidency. Just as her husband did, on his own bid for the presidency.

And now, the most obvious choice. As some political analyst, and common people say who is most likely to win, Mayor Inday Sara Duterte. The daughter of the sitting President, President Rodrigo Roa Duterte. If their will come into fruition, this will be a first time in the history of the Philippine politics, and election. A parent passing the reins of power, to his child, as if it was inherited, like in the time of kings and emperors. As if it was dynastic. If it will happen though, it will not be dynastic, for it went through the process of election. If she will be the choice of the many, then she will be President.

Although, the people will be the one that will put Sara in the seat of power. There are many outside factors, that will help her, other than us. First is her father, the current president. Although he utter some words, that the earlier his children go out of politics, the better, and the presidency will only destroy her(Sara). The action speaks otherwise. Why is Mayor Sara, on the entourage of the President, when they did some signing of deals in China? She is not needed there. There is no other reason, but preparing her to takeover, at the end of the term. Because let’s be honest. It became a tradition, of newly elected presidents, suing the former presidents and jailing them, for their alleged crimes. Duterte has many crime allegations. If other candidates win, we can’t be sure. But if it’s Mayor Sara, well she is her daughter.

Others are foreign influence, particularly the Xi Dynasty of China. As I said, she was on some of the trips on China, and other countries. China has poured money in our country. So would they chose a new unknown personality, that might derailed their investments? No, they will go to people that is reliable. And who could be the other choice than, an another person named Duterte also.

The other thing is the West Philippine Sea issue. I commend this administration, for handling the issue with prudence, rather than with rashness that may led to miscalculations, miscalculations that may led to war. I think Mayor Sara will continue, the same foreign policy.

The West might also like her. For she is not an extremist, like her father, who hates them. She might have a moderate view of the West, especially of the US.

Those are the only two factors. They can’t really rely on the Military, not because they are traitors, but their loyalty, is on the constitution, rather than the person who is the President. The business community, are split-minded with the Duterte’s. Some like them, most do not. And the Church, specifically the Catholic Church leadership, don’t really support them.

I know, that it looks like, more of a endorsement rather than a prediction. I might vote for her, if she runs. I’m not saying, that there will be no male candidates, that will run on 2022. They will be some. If they continue on pushing Tito Sotto out of the Senate Presidency, then he might be adversarial, and become the new face of the opposition. Plus his answer on the question, that if the senate will still be independent, despite the overwhelming win of the administration senatoriables and reelectionist. His answer was, on every senator’s mind, someone is whispering, you might become president of the Philippines sooner. So that’s why the Senate, will be still independent, despite of. He is a senator too, is someone whispering on him too?

Other names might be Marcos, the son, Pacquiao, etc. But as with Aquino, the son, and Duterte himself run as President. Their are some unforeseen events, that made them run, and somewhat help them win. On Aquino the son, was the death of their mother Cory Aquino, and Kris Aquino’s pronouncement. On Duterte’s part, was the decision of the Supreme Court, to let Grace Poe run. I’m still waiting for the unforeseen events, that might be a game changer. But as long as nothing happens, because of the probability, we will have a female president on 2022.