THE ONLY WAY FOR THE OPPOSITION, IS TO GIVE MARCOS A CHANCE

 

The opposition has been soundly defeated last election, with both Presumptive President and Vice President, having an overwhelming lead against their co-candidates. And with the Senate composing of 11 pro-administrations candidates winning, and only one from the opposition. Also knowing the trend in the Lower House, most of them, that are not from the ruling party, they will jump ship. 

If the trend would continue, will the opposition survive? It will depend on what they will do in the nearest future. And as of how they are acting already, their future is very bleak. And why did I say that giving Marcos a chance, is the only way?

Just look at the presidency of Rodrigo Duterte. The opposition attack him early on his term. Not giving him a grace period, that he deserved. Investigations started on the alleged extra judicial killings, so on and so forth. How did the voters saw this? They saw the opposition, as an obstructionist, and an usurper opposition. That they will do everything for Duterte to fail, and put Robredo in power. And that became very clear, on the midterm elections, where no candidate from their side won a seat in the Senate. And again this presidential and senatorial elections, only one from them came forth. 

But what will be different from the Marcos and Duterte Presidency? Marcos' mandate was much larger, it was double Duterte's numbers. And I don't know if I'm right, please correct me if I'm not. Marcos is the first majority president, or if not, it's years, decades since the Philippines have one. Again I'm not really sure of that. But I voted on two Presidential Elections, PNoy, whom I did not vote, and PRRD. both of them won by plurality, and not majority. It's the first time that I have seen a majority win, with an overwhelming lead. 

But what does it mean? It means that Marcos has a larger base of voters. It means that he has endorsing power. If the opposition, will antagonize him too early, repeating the same mistake they did with Duterte, they will be politically eliminated. That's why I am saying that they should give him a chance. A chance for what? Everything, but especially to fail, without opposition's insinuation. 

I mean it's like this, if you attacking, hindering him, early on, and he fail. He can now pinpoint the opposition, as the cause of it. And people are inclined to see it that way. However if you don't unnecessarily attack and hinder, then he failed, the blame is on him. Just like Duterte, he wasn't all ups and highs. But he was attacked too early, that the later accusations, didn't matter. Was only seen as useless politicking.

But these strategy has pro's and con's. Pro's if he will fail, the con's if he succeeds, now more people will flock to him. And as of what the opposition is doing lately, they are about to do the same mistakes, they did with Duterte. I'm not saying that there will be no more opposition. That will only happen, if we became a dictatorship, as they feared. I saw the Red Cliff movie, and have come to like this quote, in the context of my blog. From division comes unity, from unity, division. This alliance of the incoming administration, will eventually crumble. But if they will kept it, just a little longer, a certain faction, particularly the Liberal Party, might ceased to exist, or the very least be politically insignificant. That is if they will not heed my advice. But then again, who am I, for them to listen. 

IT'S THE SUPPORTER'S FAULT

 

Although I promised, that I will post a prediction formula, that will see who will win this Presidential Election. It's too obvious that he will win, and he did by an overwhelming lead. I will post the chart, and we'll see if I have time to post it in the near future. Although it's now a hindsight, and not a prediction anymore.

But could VP Leni, have a chance? I think not. Maybe with a smaller lead, by the frontrunner and not this wide. And why I am blaming the supporter's especially, of the defeat of the VP, against the former senator, whom she defeated when they last face each other on an elections? Let's enumerate.

It's not also, that VP Leni has no faults of her own. Like I've said before, politics is a combination of many things. One of them is being subtle, she directly oppose Duterte from day 1. Not giving Duterte a grace period as a newcomer, that past Presidents enjoyed. In turn, his based harden on their support, and saw the opposition as an obstructionist, and usurper opposition. Even if they throw heavy rounds of accusation as the days revealed, the support didn't wind down. And it became very obvious in the midterm elections, that they have little support, and Duterte has massive one.

Adding to that is the grievance, of the supporters, of the now presumptive-President, Bongbong Marcos. Because of the loss of their bet on the VP race, because of an alleged rigging of the results.

Now at the start of the campaign. Why do I blame the supporters? Because they exalted themselves, as the superior voters, for voting the right candidate as they perceived. Calling the others, that are not with them stupids, enablers, etc. Things that are not pleasant to someone's ears. And phrases like, let me educate you. 

First of all, you should exalt your candidate, and not yourselves, meaning the supporters. And second of all, elections is a numbers game. It's not about who has superior voters, in terms of being right, had credentials, knows all, holier than thou, but with the superior number of voters. It's addition, not tribalism. You should have learn your lesson in the midterms, that acting like that, will not win you elections. But you have to repeat the same mistakes of 2019, to this much more crucial 2022 elections. 

And that's what you get. Not that VP Leni deserves it. She, as a candidate, in campaign, is just fine. Messaging, planning, all is good. But the supporters, ruined it for her. I don't think that she can win, but the gap will not be that wide. And it's not all of her supporters. But the extremist and the loud ones. They even ask out of nowhere who is your candidate, and if it's not her, they will try to convert you on the spot. Again with a not so good communication. They dissuade, instead of convince.

Again, not that VP Leni deserves to lose. But those loud and extremist supporters, that are holier than thou, may very well deserved this, not really an upset. She was never in the lead, from the beginning. Especially those who disown relatives, cut ties with friends, just because of this election. Especially your parents, who brought raised you to the world, and you will disown just because of politics? It's not worth it. It's just an election, and they are just politicians, who you may have not touch their hands. Again it's not all of you, on the pink side. But some of you, really ruined her. 

Learn your lesson. Change your approach. And someday you might comeback into power. 

ELECTIONS ARE COMING, AND NO ONE IS TALKING

Remember the Stark words, I am Iron Man. Just kidding. Winter is Coming is the word. Winter is really coming, come winter season. May vary from different parts of the world, but it's somehow always fall Novemberish to Decemberish, along those lines. After that, Spring, which will be in 2022.

Here in the Philippines, another thing is coming this 2022. It's the Presidential Election, and no one is talking how we Pinoy's will do it.

I am particularly worried about this, because of the elephant in the room. COVID-19 and its mutating variants.

I mean, how we will gonna do it with these setting? No one is talking plans about it. If we will gonna do it, the old way, it will be the one big single superspreader event that will happen in our country, within the COVID era.

I heard some rumours though, but it will bring more harm than good. No Elections. 

We should be talking now, the earliest on how we will do it. Or else deadlines will catch up on us, were we can't talk about, and do anything about it anymore. Especially lawmakers.

At least plan, whether we will have or we will have not. If there will be no elections, I'm very skeptical about it. Of course it will extend the terms of elected officials, especially the President. Some may like it and me in some sense, but also I don't.

Let me explain. Leni Robredo, can't win if she runs for President. Sara may not win the Presidency, but  Leni can't win surely. If we will postpone the elections, the terms might be extended, that will also include the term of the Vice President. And judging the form of the President, he can't take the toll of the Presidency for any longer. He's greatly weaken by it. And I hate the idea of him, God forbid, dying at the office. And the Vice President assuming power. The VP is dimwitted in many ways, and might take the country to war with China, if she will assume power. A thing that the Philippines, with all it's problems, can do without. That's why I am against no elections.

If there will be elections, Sara will win. But how we will do it? Should we try like the US did? Mail in ballots. If we will do it, then let's talk about it now. Of course there will also be personal voting, in the precincts. But we can't do it like before. I have voted before, and there will be too many people. And too many people gathering is a superspreader in this era. People might not vote, because of the risk. I suggest that the election day be extended to three days to a week. to prevent superspreader events. But let's talk about it now. Or should we also do a hybrid, hybrid in the sense that there is mail in ballots, and precinct voting. But we should be talking about it now.

Whatever we will do about these elections, talk about it now! So we can implement early, and before everything is too late.

EFFECT ON 2022

This was unexpected. If I am to guess who will die first, among the former Presidents. Of course I will go with the oldest, for that is the natural thing to happen. But Former President Ramos, is still strong as a bull. Or at least with the sick, and that's Former President Estrada, who has been infected by COVID-19. Yes, the predecessor of President Duterte, has been known to have been sicked, for he has loss weight in some of the recent photos. But I didn't expect him to die this fast, or even this time.

Me and my mother, always talks about politics, on guessing who will win the Presidency. Of course the overwhelming guess, is the Presidential daughter, Mayor Sara Duterte. But we are both open to the possibilities, that something might happen, that will alter the course of the race.

In 1983, Ninoy Aquino was assassinated. In 1986, Cory became President. In 2009, Cory died of her illness. In 2010 Noynoy became President. You see the pattern, whenever an Aquino dies, an Aquino becomes President.

But before you come into a conclusion, hear this. Back then, there was no social media. And social media, was overwhelming against the party, which he belongs. And he has not a non-favorable consensus. Which I will not enumerate, for it's inappropriate this time.

And I think, the sisters especially Kris Aquino, doesn't want to be entangled anymore in politics. And I think the former President doesn't even want to be President, but the blabber mouth, at the funeral of their mother, somewhat hinted and pushed him to run. 

If Kris will somewhat run. It would only had an effect on the Liberal Party. Leni Robredo might be forced to not run, to give way for Kris Aquino. Just like Mar Roxas did.

But before you turn your empathy and sympathies into vote. Hear this,this is the party of the administration that cause the WPS debacle. And the one who is pushing for a retake of the territory. I am not against it, but we are not strong enough, and will never be strong enough. And we are not sure on how America will respond. Their actions might led to war. Even if we are not colonized, we will suffer damages, that might be years to repaired, or not at all for that matter. So think first, and don't base your votes on emotions. Stakes are high on the next elections

PRESIDENCY, NOT FOR A WOMAN

 

On January 14, 2021, at the inauguration Skyway Stage 3. President Rodrigo Duterte stated that the presidency is not for a woman. In the context that her daughter, Mayor Inday Sara Duterte, might run as President on the 2022 Presidential Elections, which is only a year away from now. Many reacted that it is sexist, and not necessarily true. But is it?

Historically speaking locally, locally meaning Philippines, how was the leadership of the woman that became Presidents, Corazon Aquino, and Gloria Macapagal Arroyo? The First Aquino Presidency, reversed and stopped all programs of the Marcos Administration, even if it is for the better. Privatized government controlled or owned companies, while the trend in the world at the time, was to nationalize. Deregulate price controls, now companies hike prices at will. And Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, although credited for economic gains, was a corruption ridden administration, that she has reach a negative ratings at the end of her term. And that’s how women had performed at the helm of power in Malacanang.

But was the President talking generally? If that is the case, he is wrong. Many woman leaders around the world, past and present, had led their countries well.

I interpret this in two ways. As the most literal explanation. He is only talking about his daughter only. Discouraging her to run on the highest post on the land. Which is maybe a reverse psychology. Remember when the now sitting President run for it. He vehemently deny until the filing of candidacy, that he wont run for President. Yet he is now our President. He is using strategy, although it’s now too late, because it’s too obvious now that her daughter will run. He is trying to deny that she will run, so that her supporters might support her more.

Another way of interpreting is, he is quipping the Vice President  Leni Robredo, that the job is not for her. Which I believed so, not because she is a woman, but she is just not fit and capable, to do intelligent decisions. And like the Liberal Party always does, with her becoming President, they might overturn government projects, that are maybe for the good. Just like the flood control program in NCR. Aquino, the son stopped it, because Arroyo started it.

And just look how she responded on the recent typhoon victims in 2020. Their houses are destroyed, by the typhoon, because they are made of light materials, yet you will give them light materials, to be destroyed again by other typhoons in the future. Which I believe is a practice in idiocy and stupidity.

If Sara won’t run, and Leni will. I will vote for other candidates. It’s not common sense to put her at the highest office of the land. You may say, the Duterte are lacking in the pandemic response. Both in Davao and on the national level. Everyone is lacking in response to the pandemic. Another name that is ringing the bell, when we talk about national politics, Isko Moreno, who has good programs, in the case of the pandemic, allowed the Traslacion to happened, even if they could be a spike of new cases because of that. Everyone is lacking. Because this pandemic is new, and still developing.

I believe that he is not talking generally, but only talking to those two people.

JOE AMERICA

 

I’m calling him Joe America, because he sometime in the past, once called his former boss, on a campaign, Barack America. It has been a subject of jokes of some comedians such as Robin Williams etc.

But kidding aside. Come January, whether Trump like it or not, he will have to step down, and swore into power, the new President of the United States of America, the President Elect, Joe R. Biden. Him winning the elections, was one of the better news, along a stream of bad news this 2020.

I may not agree, of some of Democrat’s policy. But with Trump In office, and his handling of things, especially COVID-19, any Democrat will do, that can replace him. And as Joe Biden, rose as the candidate of the Democratic Party, it’s a good thing, that despite differences is principle within the party, they all come together behind Joe Biden, unlike what happen when Hilary Clinton ran for president.

All I am saying is, Joe Biden is the common sense candidate to be voted, against Trump. Especially with the mishandling of COVID 19 in the United States. With it being still the number 1 country with most cases in the whole world. A common sense, in the presidency, must be put in place, and that is Joe Biden, more than Trump. A leader, that should encourage wearing mask, and not discourage them. And a leader that encourage social distancing, rather than encouraging mass gathering. And again, that is Joe more than Trump.

I can only speak of COVID 19 for Joe Biden, because of the failure of Trump Administrations to tackle the crisis. Even if consecutive administrations before him, put a measure in place, to tackle such crisis, yet cases and deaths skyrocketed. Cause lets face it, many countries in the world are have a declined in number of cases, and deaths cause by COVID. Some have already declared the defeat of COVID 19 in their countries, even China has a lower number of cases now, which where the contagion started. But if the US, will not tackle COVID with seriousness right now, these pandemic, will be prolonged than expected. And don’t put all your hopes, on the vaccines, despite news that it has 95% effective. It will take years, to distribute to all the world, doses of it. And not being so negative, it might still failed as a vaccine. All we need to do is to stop the spread, by following  health protocols. And America is spreading it a lot, in their own country. And if they open up, they might spread again to the world, starting an endless cycle. That’s why I am glad, that Joe Biden won the elections. Even though I am not an American.

But what would be the implications, to my home country, the Philippines. Will it affect the stability of the Duterte Administration? Knowing that his former boss, Barack Obama, is the President of the US, that our President’s hates the most. Will it also had an effect, to the candidacy of the now Vice President Leni Robredo, just like him? I hope not.  We may never know. We hope a cooperation, and not so much intervention from the incoming administration. And we hope, that the Philppines start being treated as an equal and sovereign country, and not as a vassal, or a satellite state. Hoping for good transition, and better run as the new President of the United States. Good luck, and God Bless.

ROBREDO, DRUG CZARINA

Our President has this habit, that when you suggested something, you do it yourself. To give you an example. The late Gina Lopez, just want to take about policies on environment to our President, after he won the presidency. She doesn’t want to be the Secretary of Environment, but because she has ideas, she was put there, as Secretary of Environment.

Now our VP Leni Robredo keeps criticizing the drug war, as a failure of the Duterte Administration. Maybe annoyed by her, he puts her as a co-Chairman of the department that handles the drug situation, I dont remember the name. And after a long bruhaha, she accepted the post.

Now, what do I think I about this? Is it a good idea, or a bad idea? If it is done for political reasons, then Duterte will have political points. She will be humiliated in that post, and will be blame for it. But if she is to have powers to stop policies, that are effective, and proven, then it is bad. I mean, she is like Jon Snow, she knows nothing. In an interview, she said that she called the meeting of his co-Chairman Aquino, to know the data, and where to start. Yet have the audacity to criticize, what’s right and wrong on the drug war by the administration. And I heard rumors, that on her first day in office, she was absent. If its proven to be true, then its not a good start, and sign of bad things to come.

But its too early to judge her. But what I will say is this, one cannot be a drug czarina, if you can’t differentiate the word panag-inip and pangarap, just because they are both translated dreams in English.  Panaginip is dream, that happens to you when you sleep, Pangarap is dream, that also means ambition, aspiration, a thing you want to achieve or have, that you don’t have now. Listen to her interviews, she keeps using Panaginip, instead of Pangarap, even if what she really meant is Pangarap. Some might say, maybe because she is Bicolano, but I don’t think, it has anything to do with it.

One, cannot be a drug czarina, if she can’t do math calculations properly. Search the internet for it.

One, cannot be a drug czarina, if you criticize the President, for the remarks, that he will kill all the drug addicts, just like how Hitler have done it on the Jews, which is wrong in many ways. Yet when you go to Germany, you will sit pretty on the tombs, that Hitler actually killed backed in his days. There is a picture of it find it.

Such, cannot be a drug czarina, nor can be the President of the Philippines. Philippines has suffer too much, from incompetent and corrupt leaders in the past. Never Again.

A FEMALE PRESIDENT IN 2022?

Elections have finished, and everyone who has won is eyeing for a position. There are talks about the speakership of the House of Representatives, and also about The Senate presidency. Others eye for some commitee chairmanship. But no one asks about the obvious. Who will sit in the throne of power in Malacanang, after Rodrigo Duterte? Because let’s face it. The first thing, a politician thinks after an election, is the next election. And the next election, is a much more important election, than this years election. For it is a presidential election, we will elect a new captain that will stir the nation.

Everybody is saying that Mayor Sara, will be the next President after his father. For a number of reasons, that are logical. But for me, it is still too early this time to count the chicks. The eggs are not yet crack. But one thing is for sure, we may have a new female president, after President Duterte step down on 2022. I’m 70% sure of it now. Why? Because of the probability. Too many female candidates might run for office. And some of them, are too obvious in showing their interest. Let’s enumarate them.

Of course, there is the Vice President, Leni Robredo. She has too run, cause if she won’t, although it’s inevitable whether she run’s or not, it will be the end of the Liberal Party. It might cease to exist in the Philippines. The probability of her winning the race, is very low.  Just look at what happen to Otso Diretso, all of them lose the race, which whom she endorsed. It’s just like saying, we don’t want you, and like you. Plus, she does things that ruins her. She attacked the President, with his Hitler remarks, that he might do to drug addicts, what had Hitler did on the Jews. Yet she, when she went to Germany, sits on the tombstones of the Jews, that Hitler had massacred on World War 2.

There is also Grace Poe, who is also not an administration senator, but chose to stay away from the Liberal Party. She was rank second among top 12 senators, that had won this election. She thanked the people for electing, and she is saying that she is not from the administration, she had not compromised her principles. What does she really meant by that? She is announcing her bid for the Presidency.

And a little rant, to some candidates. To those who have won, who want to thank the people for their support. Thank us, by doing your jobs right, and not stealing the taxpayers money. Stop posting posters, thanking the people, that you won! That posters, will just become additional trash that you will never clean by yourself! There is this partylist here in our city, that I will not name, but are connected to the Nograles, everytime they won, they post this thank you posters, congratulating themselves on winning. Are what you doing a bit narcissistic, on your part? Stop doing that. Nakakainis para sa mga tao,at magdadagdag basura lang. Sorry naubusan ng Ingles.

If the number 2 will run, what more about the number one? Cynthia Villar, 20 million plus voted for her. If she can maintain that number, until 2022, then she may have a chance. Although some political analyst say, that being number one in a senatorial election, doesn’t always translate to also winning the presidency. Just as her husband did, on his own bid for the presidency.

And now, the most obvious choice. As some political analyst, and common people say who is most likely to win, Mayor Inday Sara Duterte. The daughter of the sitting President, President Rodrigo Roa Duterte. If their will come into fruition, this will be a first time in the history of the Philippine politics, and election. A parent passing the reins of power, to his child, as if it was inherited, like in the time of kings and emperors. As if it was dynastic. If it will happen though, it will not be dynastic, for it went through the process of election. If she will be the choice of the many, then she will be President.

Although, the people will be the one that will put Sara in the seat of power. There are many outside factors, that will help her, other than us. First is her father, the current president. Although he utter some words, that the earlier his children go out of politics, the better, and the presidency will only destroy her(Sara). The action speaks otherwise. Why is Mayor Sara, on the entourage of the President, when they did some signing of deals in China? She is not needed there. There is no other reason, but preparing her to takeover, at the end of the term. Because let’s be honest. It became a tradition, of newly elected presidents, suing the former presidents and jailing them, for their alleged crimes. Duterte has many crime allegations. If other candidates win, we can’t be sure. But if it’s Mayor Sara, well she is her daughter.

Others are foreign influence, particularly the Xi Dynasty of China. As I said, she was on some of the trips on China, and other countries. China has poured money in our country. So would they chose a new unknown personality, that might derailed their investments? No, they will go to people that is reliable. And who could be the other choice than, an another person named Duterte also.

The other thing is the West Philippine Sea issue. I commend this administration, for handling the issue with prudence, rather than with rashness that may led to miscalculations, miscalculations that may led to war. I think Mayor Sara will continue, the same foreign policy.

The West might also like her. For she is not an extremist, like her father, who hates them. She might have a moderate view of the West, especially of the US.

Those are the only two factors. They can’t really rely on the Military, not because they are traitors, but their loyalty, is on the constitution, rather than the person who is the President. The business community, are split-minded with the Duterte’s. Some like them, most do not. And the Church, specifically the Catholic Church leadership, don’t really support them.

I know, that it looks like, more of a endorsement rather than a prediction. I might vote for her, if she runs. I’m not saying, that there will be no male candidates, that will run on 2022. They will be some. If they continue on pushing Tito Sotto out of the Senate Presidency, then he might be adversarial, and become the new face of the opposition. Plus his answer on the question, that if the senate will still be independent, despite the overwhelming win of the administration senatoriables and reelectionist. His answer was, on every senator’s mind, someone is whispering, you might become president of the Philippines sooner. So that’s why the Senate, will be still independent, despite of. He is a senator too, is someone whispering on him too?

Other names might be Marcos, the son, Pacquiao, etc. But as with Aquino, the son, and Duterte himself run as President. Their are some unforeseen events, that made them run, and somewhat help them win. On Aquino the son, was the death of their mother Cory Aquino, and Kris Aquino’s pronouncement. On Duterte’s part, was the decision of the Supreme Court, to let Grace Poe run. I’m still waiting for the unforeseen events, that might be a game changer. But as long as nothing happens, because of the probability, we will have a female president on 2022.

REALLY 8-STRAIGHT

Was the name not a clue? Said Robin Williams

I have been alive since 1990, but I have only been aware of Philippine politics at the time of the Estrada Administration. Ever since that day, or before, I can be stand corrected by anyone older than me, I have never seen the opposition, being soundly defeated at the midterms. Even with the time of the late President Cory Aquino’s Administration, there is Estrada and Enrile, who won running against the administration slate. I don’t know if there are other names, that I didn’t mention. But those two, are the popular opposition names at the time.

But now, all those who ran under the banner of the opposition, Otso Diretso, did not do well in the polls. With Bam Aquino, only placing 14^th overall in the polls. What happen to the opposition? Is it black propaganda? Is it election manipulation? Or the people just really don’t want them? I will lay down, of what I think the reasons why Otso Diretso, became really Otso Diresto, but in being defeated in the 2019 senatorial election.

I . Victim of the Times

Everywhere in the world, in Europe, in Asia, in South and North America, may be even Africa, people are turning to those so called populist leaders. Leaders that are action man, and those who agree with the grievances of the people, and their proposed solutions. In the U.S. they elected Donald Trump. Japan has Shinzo Abe, Turkey has Edrogan. And in the Philippines we have our own, President Rodrigo Duterte.

In the 1930’s, the same phenomenon have happened. They weren’t called populist leaders at the time. Some are called fascist, and others communist. But they have a common name, Totalitarian leaders. Hitler, Stalin, Musollini, Franco, Antonescu, Tito, where some of the names in Europe. Japan has Tojo, China has Chiang Kai-Shek, and Mao Zedong. In South America, they have Peron. That was just some of the names that I remembered.

I don’t know, if the trend is for the good the world this time. The trend in 1930’s was definitely not for the good of the world. For those leaders, gave us World War 2, and the Cold War thereafter. In which the world, is still reeling of its effects.

The common thing about the populist leaders, is they have won against those candidates, which was considered liberal democrats. Again I don’t know, if it is for the good of the world, or not. We are still to see.

But what is the connection, between the rise of populist leaders, and the defeat of Otso Diretso. Let’s go to my next reason.

II . Rabid attack against Duterte

From the word populist itself, it means that the population agrees with them, and in turn, they are popular. Yet the opposition, attacked Duterte. But they attacked him, at the worst possible timing. Just after being elected, by 13 million plus voters. Because of that, they have been seen by the people, as an obstructionist opposition.

Not only that, the Vice President who is from the opposition, keep criticizing the President, and joining rallies against him. But somehow keep doing things, that ruins her. Now they have been seen not only as an obstructionist, but an opposition, who wants to overthrow, the duly elected President, via the Vice President. An opposition, who has an intention to usurp the Presidency.

Because of that, the daughter of the President, Mayor Sara, rally the people to not vote opposition candidates, and support only the candidates of their ticket. And that’s what the result of the election indicates.

The opposition should have given Duterte, his grace period as President. But they attacked him early on his term. Naturally the President, of all that I have seen, Ramos, Estrada, Arroyo, Aquino the son, all loses popularity in the middle of their term. Arroyo, by the end of her term, has a negative percent trust ratings. But because of what they did, it has been seen, that the opposition, doesn’t want the President to succeed. Because of that, they lost credibility. All of the future attacks against the President, whether unfounded or true, will be considered as slander. They will either have no, or little support in whatever they will do.

III . Wrong Choice of Candidates

If the opposition ran without this candidate, one or two of them may have won. And that candidate, is Mar Roxas. Who has a lot of failures, in his time of service in the Aquino Administration. MRT, Mamasapano, Yolanda, those are some of his many failures. Being the biggest is the Yolanda relief handling. How brazen is he, to even think of running again? Did he think that his twins will make him win? Rated K is losing ratings against Kapuso Mo Jessica Soho. People had not forgotten yet about you, Mr. Roxas. You should have waited for another three or six years, before running again, or retire for that matter, and take care of your twins, Pepe and Pilar. You and your wife, having the twins, was not seen as a cute thing, but rather a luxury. Even how rich you are, being luxurious during election time, is not good.

I can’t say anything about the other four, for I don’t know them. Macalintal being a lawyer, would have been a good and capable senator. Also Congressman Tanada. But they are with Mar, who has a tainted reputation as politician, that’s why they lost.

Another one is Bam Aquino, who is the only one, who did well, but fell short in the polls. I don’t like, maybe not only me, his credit grabbing on some of the laws that had passed. His family really has a history grabbing things. Land grabbing, for example, while he was credit-grabbing.

Like that of the free college education bill. I don’t know who particularly is the proponent of the bill, but I am sure that Bam, is not the one who brainchild it. But he presents himself, as if he is the one who made it, while in reality, he only co-author with some legislators. To put it on words that is easy to understand, he only suggested ideas to George RR Martin on some things, edited some words, but he is presenting himself, as if he wrote the whole A Song Of Ice and Fire series of novels. Where in reality, he didn’t. George RR Martin wrote it. I really like his work, especially the one that inspired the Game of Thrones TV series, which the show runners, ruined in the end. I don’t read the book yet, and I want to read it. But if the show, is only the tip of the iceberg, how much beautiful the books would be. I really would like to get my hands on that books.

IV . Calling Voters Names

Everyone has it’s supporters. Administration supporters, even the President himself, call the opposition as Yellow, Yellowtards. Opposition called them as Dutertards, DDS, etc. The candidates did not really do this mistake, but their supporters, in which affected the candidates big time. Calling the ones who will not vote for the opposition candidates as bobotantes(stupid voters). It had turn away votes, leaving only the support base, which is not enough for them to win.

Election is mathematics. It’s all about numbers, the more you can get, the merrier, for you will win. You don’t turn away voters, by calling them names. Another equation that should come to mind is this. Candidate plus Voters. Candidates capability, popularity, are important. But for someone to win, they need votes, which will come from the voters.

Voters nowadays, don’t really care about platforms, or on what you will do for the next ten years. What is important to voters, is the voters. Yes, themselves. We are selfish individuals, we Filipinos. That’s why we never won a war for independence, both against the Americans and the Spaniards. That’s why, at least in election time, candidates should not think of themselves. I am this, I am that, no. The message should be, I understand you, we shall do this, we shall do that.

Look at how, President Duterte won against other candidates. All of them, have plans of what will they do. He has none, but only one message, which is this, my god, I hate drugs. He has this federalism, as a plan. But it’s not popular among people, for they don’t really know what it means. So the rallying cry, is he should end drugs in 6 months. And he won, why? Drugs are affecting the daily lives of Filipinos. Families are destroyed, men, women, children died because of it. Its really a problem from the ground, that people want to be really addressed. Only he among the candidates, had said something about it. I think that’s really the reason why he won. He admitted himself in a debate, that he will just copy the platforms of his fellow candidates at that time. Candidates are not the most important thing in the elections, but the voters.

V . Lastly, Campaigning

Many known names, among the local candidates lost the election, especially those who are opposed because of this. Not campaigning, and complacency. They think name recall, is enough to win seats of power. Not even going to places, that are not that far.

The same happened with the Otso Diretso. They did not go to places, which they think they are unpopular. Which is a big mistake, had they done it, Bam might have won. Elections is a numbers game. Its about popularity. Have they try to reach from the other side of the fence, and try to change the minds of the people, they might have a chance.

I can attest to this, because on the day of the election, one voter said: “I will not for them, they did not go here”. Which only means, that person can be swayed. And I and that person, is from Davao City, a Duterte territory.

I think their problems come being lazy, half-heartedness, and being pessimistic about the outcome. Have they really put up a fight, which I think they really did not. One of them, could have won. Because they don’t, they lost. Na Otso Diretso talaga. Lastly I think, naming is also important.

ROBREDO NEXT PRESIDENT?

At natapos nga ang isa sa pinaka nakatutuwa at mapanghating eleksyon sa balat ng Pilipinas. I've participated in the last Presidential Elections in which our current President, Noynoy Aquino is a candidate. But unlike that election, This election had friends, became enemies, families divided, because of the loyalties they have to their candidates. I hope that those families and friendships rekindled, because the elections are now over. This Monday, May 30, 2016 Mayor Rodrigo Duterte, and Congresswoman Leni Robredo, will be proclaimed as the winners of the 2016 Presidential and Vice Presidential Elections.

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Now, let's talk about Leni Robredo. The Vice President Elect. I will not talk about the President Elect, because everyone is talking about him already. With a lead to his closest rival, Bongbong Marcos of only 263,473 votes. Robredo defeats the son of the former dictator. Which is kind of funny for Marcos, because it is somehow repeat of history. A widow of a famous politician, defeating a Marcos. In his father's case, is Cory Aquino.

That concludes the election. But as they say, the end is also a beginning. I watched the movie White House Down. The President of America in that movie, has talked about after winning an election, they are already thinking and preparing for the next one. Although its from a movie, it happens in real life. Just after Aquino won in 2010, They are already grooming Mar Roxas to be next in line. And Jejomar Binay announces his bid very early. None of the two won. They are defeated by a Mayor from a far flung city in the Souther Philippines.

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Also for the first time. The winners of the Presidential and Vice Presidential elections, came from a least expected position. From A Mayor catapulted to the Presidency, and a congress representative, to the Vice-Presidency. Although Vice-President Binay, was a mayor too before he became a Vice President. But he was a Mayor in the National Capital Region. It's always, if not most of the time, the candidates or winners, will come from the Senate, or someone who work in the Cabinet. Like Ramos, who was the Chief of Staff in Cory's Administration before he became President. Estrada and Arroyo, who were former Senators before they became Vice-Presidents. And Aquino, who is a former Senator before he became President.

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Now let's go to the question. Will she be the next President after Duterte? The only two things that may catapult Robredo to the Presidency are these. If Duterte is to be impeached, and if Duterte dies. And let's pray that the two will not happened. That are the only two options. If she will wait for 2022 for her bid. She wil not win.

The first possibility is that Duterte being impeached. Or as is it called in the internet, PLAN B. But as of my experience. Most of the things said in the internet are not true. They are just fear-mongering, so that people will be vigilant. Like in this election. They said that there are fake ballots that the results will be Roxas if you vote for Duterte. Which turned out to be not true.

And PLAN B is far from being possible now. Because many Congressman had change allegiances and alliances. Many had jump to Duterte's side. And for Duterte to be impeach, it has to pass Congress. And Congress now is in Duterte's control.

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As I said if she wait until 2022, she will not win. One of the reason is Bongbong Marcos. If he will not keep quiet of his accusations of him being cheated at the elections, whether it is true or not. It will affect Leni's bid in the future.

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Plus there are many names that may arouse. Like that of Marcos, Cayetano, Sotto etc. Or an unexpected name out of nowhere. Or if Mayor Duterte is to be successful of his iron fisted disciplinarian style of leadership, that Mayor from Tanauan Batangas, Mayor Antonio Halili may have a chance. Because Mayor Duterte himself set a precedent, from a being a Mayor to being a President.

ROBREDO FOR 2013

Nailibing na rin nga si DILG Secretary Jesse Robredo. Noong buhay pa nga siya noon, ay tila na naiisantabi lang siya nating mga Pilipino. Ngunit nang siya ay namatay, nalaman natin ang kaniyang mga dakilang gawa sa kaniyang bayan. Nakakapang-hinayang nga ang kaniyang maagang pagkawala.

Ang dagsa ng tao sa lamay, maging sa libing ay maikukumpara, sa libing at lamay ng mag-asawang Aquino, noong sila'y pumanaw, at inihatid sa kanilang huling hantungan. Totoong walang kapareho si Jesse Robredo, at hindi mapapantayan ang kaniyang mga nagawa sa bayan. Ngunit hanggang doon na lamang ba ang mga magiging pagkakapareho ng mga pangyayari?

Kung nakukuha niyo nga ang sinasabi ko, ay iyon nga ang ibig kong sabihin. Hindi ba't nagpahayag ang pangalawang anak ni Sec. Jesse na si Patricia, na ibig ni Jillian(ang pangatlo sa tatlong magkakapatid na Robredo), maging artista, gaya nang kung paanong si Kris Aquino ay naging artista, na may namatay ding ama noon gaya niya.

Kung si Jillian Robredo ay ibig maging gaya ni Kris, hindi ba't si Atty. Leni Robredo ay maaaring maging gaya naman ni Cory Aquino? Tignan niyo nga ang mga pangyayari. Namatay si Ninoy, at si Cory Aquino ay naging Pangulo, namatay si Tita Cory, at ang kaniyang unico hijo naman ang naging Pangulo. Tinawag nga itong "Cory Magic". Hindi kaya meron ding "Robredo Magic"?

At mayroon pang pagkakapareho sila Cory, Noynoy, at Atty. Leni, pareho nga nilang ayaw sa pasimula. Nagpahayag nga si Atty. Leni, na hindi sila papasok sa pulitika. Narinig ko naman sa balita, sa isang tao, hindi ko lang maalala kung sino, sabi niya, if their is a compelling reason maaari daw tumakbo si Atty. Leni.

Ganitong-ganito nga rin nang panahon ni Cory, sabi ni Cory kung magkakaroon ng isang million na signature na nagsasabing dapat siyang tumakbo, ay tatakbo siya. Nangyari nga at nagkaroon ng isang million na lagda. Ganoon din nga nang bago tumakbo si Noynoy, maraming nanawagan, hanggang si Mar Roxas nga ay umatras na sa pagtakbo bilang Pangulo, upang bigyang daan si Noynoy.

Ngayon nga ang tamang panahon upang magdeklara kung tatakbo o hindi. Hindi na nga mauulit pa ang ganitong pagkakataon. Ang tanong na nga lang kung saan? National o Local? Kung Local ay siguradong-sigurado ito, ngunit malaki din naman ang pag-asa sa National. Kung tatakbo siya sa National position, in which the highest sa susunod na eleksyon ay ang pagiging Senador, ay iboboto ko siya, pangako yan gaya ng ipinost ko sa Twitter.

https://twitter.com/KennFrankRave/status/238964822304231424

Wala ngang maaaring pumalit sa isang Robredo,kundi isa ring Robredo, Ito nga si Atty. Leni. ROBREDO FOR 2013!